Predicting Outcomes using Probability

Students learn how to predict outcomes using probability.  As learning progresses students understand the effect of sample size in determining the accuracy of the predictions.  More able students combine this with sample space diagrams.At the start of the lesson students recap estimating probabilities.  In the plenary students apply their learning to judge the appropriateness of statistical conclusions based on probability.
Differentiated Learning Objectives
• All students should be able to calculate an expected frequency using theoretical probability.
• Most students should be able to calculate an expected frequency using relative frequency.
• Some students should be able to plot relative frequency graphs to understand the effects of sample size when calculating an expected frequency.
SKU: 678

Mr Mathematics Blog

Angles in Polygons

There are two key learning points when solving problems with angles in polygons.  The first is to understand why all the exterior angles of a polygon have a sum of 360°.  The second is to understand the interior and exterior angles appear on the same straight line. Students can be told these two facts and […]

Getting Ready for a New School Year

When getting ready for a new school year I have a list of priorities to work through. Knowing my team have all the information and resources they need to teach their students gives me confidence we will start the term in the best possible way.  Mathematics Teaching and Learning Folder All teachers receive a folder […]

Mathematics OFSTED Inspection – The Deep Dive

Earlier this week, my school took part in a trial OFSTED inspection as part of getting ready for the new inspection framework in September 2019. This involved three Lead Inspectors visiting our school over the course of two days. The first day involved a ‘deep dive’ by each of the Lead Inspectors into Mathematics, English […]